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Friday, November 12, 2010

BCS Update

With the most important games upcoming, the BCS rankings are going to be more scrutinized than ever due to the fact of the possibility of a one-loss team reaching the national championship over a possible undefeated Boise State or TCU. Here are the relevant teams in the BCS picture right now:



*Note Stanford is higher than Nebraska because they are ranked higher in the Harris Poll compared to Nebraska than Nebraska is in the USA Today poll over Stanford.

Here are the tough challenges that lie ahead for these teams:
Oregon
Vs. #18 Arizona
@ Oregon State
Auburn
@ #12 Alabama
SEC Conference Championship game (Florida or South Carolina)
TCU
Vs. San Diego State
Boise State
Vs. Fresno State
@ #21 Nevada
LSU
@ #15 Arkansas
Stanford
Vs. Oregon State
Wisconsin
@ Michigan
Vs. Northwestern
Nebraska
@ #25 Texas A&M
Big 12 Championship Game (Oklahoma State)

The reason I bring this post up is because Oregon and Auburn are going to have some tough games in the very near future. TCU’s high BCS ranking is likely to drop as they have a bye week and two easy games remaining on their schedule. Boise State will jump up a little bit but if Nevada loses before they play, they will also drop in the rankings. LSU has an opportunity to jump both TCU and Boise State if they finish their season strong against Arkansas, however they will suffer because they won’t be playing in the SEC Championship. Stanford and Wisconsin will likely be trailing right behind, which could take away an at-large BCS bid. Nebraska still has a chance to make some noise, as the computers love Oklahoma State, and they will benefit if they win that game, and most of the other teams will be on a bye.

With all these crazy scenarios, here is my current BCS prediction:

BCS Championship: Oregon vs. LSU
Rose: Wisconsin vs. Stanford
Fiesta: Nebraska vs. Pittsburgh
Orange: Virginia Tech vs. TCU
Sugar: Auburn vs. Boise State

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